Prop firm simulator

Prop firm backtesting: will your strategy pass the challenge?

Prop firm backtesting shows whether your strategy can survive the rules, not just make money. Set the rules and your trading stats, then run 5,000 attempts to see your pass rate, likely failures and best risk per trade.

Simulated attempts with every change
5,000
Edit every challenge rule
Any firm
Paste your own backtest results
Your trades
No email, account or install
Free

Prop firm challenge simulator

1The challenge

Typical rules to start from. Change any number to match your firm.

%
%

Leave empty if there is none

%
%
Max loss type
Time limit and consistency rule

Trading days per phase. Empty for none

Best day as a share of profitable days' total. Empty for none

%

2Your trading

45%

The share of your trades that win.

1.5R

A winner makes 1.5 times what you risk. Losers lose 1R.

1%

Share of the starting balance you lose when a trade hits its stop.

Trades per day
2
Daily stop

Stop trading for the day after this many losses.

3Your odds

Chance of passing both phases

76%

About 8 in 10 attempts pass

Phase 1 passed in 85% of attempts, then Phase 2 in 89% of those.

  • Passed76%
  • Hit the daily loss limit0%
  • Hit the max loss24%
  • Still going after six months<1%
Most failed attempts hit the max loss during a losing streak. At 0.75% a trade, about 83% would pass.

Average per trade

+0.13R

Your edge, in multiples of risk

Typical time to pass

30 days

Trading days. Most passes took 19 to 45

Losing streak to expect

9 in a row

1 in 10 attempts had one at least this long

24 of the 5,000 attempts

010203040500%+8%Target−10%Max loss

Trading days

Pass rate by risk per trade

Pick a point to try it
0%50%100%0.25%0.5%0.75%1%1.25%1.5%1.75%2%2.5%3%You0.25% a trade: 46% pass0.5% a trade: 83% pass0.75% a trade: 83% pass1% a trade: 76% pass1.25% a trade: 69% pass1.5% a trade: 66% pass1.75% a trade: 63% pass2% a trade: 57% pass2.5% a trade: 17% pass3% a trade: 21% passBest: 83%

Risk per trade

5,000 simulated attempts from your numbers. Trades are taken one at a time and limits are checked as each one closes. A guide, not a promise.

Why profitable strategies still fail

A challenge can end long before your backtest turns a profit.

Daily loss limit

A few losses in one day can end the challenge, even if your strategy is profitable overall.

Max loss

Risk too much and a normal losing streak can use your whole drawdown allowance.

Trailing drawdown

When the limit follows your highest balance, giving back profits can fail the challenge.

Trade order

The same trades can pass or fail in a different order. That is sequence risk.

How the simulator works

It runs your edge 5,000 times, with a different trade sequence each time.

Each attempt takes trades one at a time and checks the rules after every trade closes. It stops when you hit the target, break a limit or run out of time.

Run 5,000 attempts and you get a prop firm pass rate. Or paste real R multiples from your backtest and the simulator reshuffles your results instead of using an average.

Risk changes everything

Risk too little and you may run out of time. Risk too much and a losing streak can end the challenge.

Backtest the challenge properly

Better inputs give you a more useful simulation.

  1. Set the rules

    Enter the target, loss limits, minimum days, time limit and any consistency rule.

  2. Backtest without peeking

    Replay bar by bar and take every valid setup, including the ugly ones.

  3. Log trades in R

    Record each result as an R multiple so you can simulate your actual trade history.

  4. Paste your results

    Run your real trades through the rules and compare pass rates across risk levels.

app.traderscasa.com
Backtesting a strategy bar by bar in Traders Casa
Bar replay in Traders Casa, free on every plan.

Questions, answered

What is prop firm backtesting?

Prop firm backtesting tests a strategy against challenge rules, not just profitability. You check whether it can reach the profit target without first breaking the daily loss, max loss, minimum trading days or other rules you set.

How accurate is the simulator?

It is only as accurate as your inputs. Trades are taken one at a time and limits are checked as each trade closes. Real trading can differ, including how firms treat open losses. Use the results as a guide, not a promise.

What risk per trade should I use for a prop firm challenge?

There is no single right number. Use the pass rate by risk chart to compare levels. Lower risk can make the target take longer. Higher risk can make daily and maximum loss limits easier to hit.

How many trades should I backtest before a challenge?

There is no fixed number that guarantees a useful result. More trades give the simulator more of your actual outcomes to reshuffle, including losing streaks and different sequences. Avoid drawing big conclusions from a small sample.

Does Traders Casa have a prop firm simulator in the app?

No. The prop firm challenge simulator is the free tool on this page. In Traders Casa, you can backtest with bar replay on any plan, then paste your R multiples here. Pro also includes Monte Carlo analysis for backtest sessions.

More free tools

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Test it before you pay

Backtest on TradingView powered charts, then run your results through the simulator. Unlimited sessions are included on the free plan.